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Price Trend: Gradual Warming of Demand Leads to the Start of Second- or Third-line Production Capacity, and Market Trend will Tend to Be Optimistic

published: 2019-05-23 16:20

This week, the market was affected by the European exhibition and the atmosphere that next month’s quote is about to be announced. The overall market price is still stable and optimistic.

The overall supply chain continued last week’s wait-and-see attitude. Although some manufacturers planned to increase prices, because the momentum wasn’t powerful, it is estimated that it will be more explicit in the beginning of next month. In terms of the subsequent overall market trend, whether supply or demand, the subsequent extension of force is expected to remain until the end of the year.

Polysilicon

This week’s polysilicon market price was similar to last week. Compared to multi-si material, mono-si material was steady. The production near the end of the month is based on the delivery of orders. For the multi-si materials, as the difference between the highest and lowest price is shrinking, the overall market is still looking forward to next month’s orders. As the production time of the large manufacturers has been extended to the beginning of June, it is estimated that the overall price will be affected and increase. Overseas materials also gradually saw their price differences shrink. The overall average price went up slightly. So far, domestic multi-si material price has been 60-65RMB/KG, with the average price remaining at 64RMB/KG. Mono-si material price has remained at 72-78RMB/KG. Affected by exchange rate fluctuations, overseas price has been 9.62-10.01USD/KG, with the average price growing to 9.72USD/KG. Due to the impact of exchange rate, global average price has decreased to 9.43USD/KG.

Si-wafer

This week, si-wafer market price was stable. Quotes of mono-si manufacturers are expected to change this week. It is estimated to be flat or increase slightly. Although the demand for multi-si was strong, the price increase and decrease was difficult to speculate, mainly because the number of orders and prices were not enough to form a large rise and fall. The bargaining space was quite broad. So far, overseas mono-si wafer price has remained at 0.415-0.425USD/Pc. Multi-si price has remained at 0.250-0.270USD/Pc. Black silicon product price has remained at 0.280USD/Pc. Domestic mono-si price has been 3.02-3.17RMB/Pc, with the average price remaining at 3.12RMB/Pc. Multi-si price has been 1.86-2.00RMB/Pc, with the average price declining to 1.91RMB/Pc. Black silicon product price has remained at 2.13RMB/Pc.

PV cell

This week, PV cell market price was still stable, with an upward trend. Last week, the atmosphere of the European exhibition made the domestic small- and medium-size manufacturers restart multi-si production line. Because mono-si PV cell continued to stabilize the price, multi-si didn’t change in order to maintain price difference and price–performance ratio. So far, overseas general multi-si price has remained at 0.115-0.129USD/W. General mono-si price has remained at 0.121-0.128USD/W. High-efficiency mono-si price has remained at 0.155-0.165USD/W. Ultra-high efficiency mono-si (>21.5%) price has remained at 0.155-0.180USD/W.

Domestic general multi-si price has remained at 0.83-0.87RMB/W. General mono-si price has remained at 0.90-0.95RMB/W. High-efficiency mono-si price has remained at 1.15-1.20RMB/W. Ultra-high efficiency mono-si (>21.5%) price has remained at 1.18-1.25RMB/W. Double-sided PV cell price has increased to 1.23-1.29RMB/W.

Module

This week, module market price continued to stabilize. After the European exhibition, local module quotes have been downgraded to below 0.25USD/W. It’s worth observing whether the subsequent buyers will pay and whether the supply manufacturers will continue to quote down. So far, overseas general multi-si (270-275W) price has been 0.210-0.260USD/W, with the average price remaining at 0.225USD/W. High-efficiency multi-si (280-285W) price has remained at 0.218-0.230USD/W. General mono-si (290-295W) price has remained at 0.231-0.251USD/W. High-efficiency mono-si (300-305W) price has remained at 0.268-0.350USD/W. Ultra-high efficiency mono-si (>310W) price has been 0.283-0.385USD/W, with the average price remaining at 0.285USD/W.

Domestic general multi-si price has been 1.70-1.75RMB/W, with the average price remaining at 1.72RMB/W. High-efficiency multi-si price has been 1.80-1.85RMB/W, with the average price remaining at 1.83RMB/W. General mono-si price has remained at 1.83-1.90RMB/W. High-efficiency mono-si price has remained at 2.05-2.10RMB/W. Ultra-high efficiency mono-si price has remained at 2.10-2.20RMB/W.

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