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Price Trend: Due to China’s Uncertain Policy, Overseas Demand Is Expected to Be the First to Be Released

published: 2019-04-11 16:48

This week, the overall market price is still relatively low. Despite the slowdown in demand, the capacities of some products have remained high. Upstream polysilicon and si-wafer reflected the sense of powerlessness between the current supply and demand in the market, and price has continued to drop slowly.

Downstream PV cell and module prices had a mixed phenomenon of increase and decrease, and it is estimated to be related to the needs of a particular product or region. In terms of the subsequent overall market trend, with the arrival of spring and new installation period, if China fails to see effective policy guidelines, it is estimated that overseas demand will emerge in the future two to three weeks.

Polysilicon

This week, the market price of polysilicon continued to decline. Both mono-si and multi-si material transaction prices changed due to a slowdown in downstream si-wafer demand. So far, domestic multi-si material price has been 61-65RMB/KG, with the unchanged average price of 63RMB/KG. Mono-si material price has dropped to 68-78RMB/KG, with the average price decreasing to 74RMB/KG. Overseas price has remained at 8.50-11.50USD/KG, with the unchanged average price of 9.90USD/KG.

Si-wafer

This week, si-wafer overseas price was steady and Chinese price slightly fell. Downstream PV cell manufacturers’ stock was abundant. It is estimated that the stock-up momentum this month was weak. Under the stability of price, the production and marketing were temporarily balanced. So far, overseas mono-si wafer price has remained at 0.405-0.425USD/Pc. Multi-si price has remained at 0.258-0.270USD/Pc. Black silicon product price has remained at 0.300USD/Pc.

Domestic mono-si price has been lowered to 2.97-3.15RMB/Pc, with the average price dropping to 3.06RMB/Pc. Multi-si price has decreased to 1.90-2.00RMB/Pc, with the average price dropping to 1.96RMB/Pc. Black silicon product price has been reduced to 2.05RMB/Pc.

PV cell

This week, PV cell overseas price was temporarily stable, while Chinese price continued to drop. Multi-si product was affected by the stock-up momentum from India and Japan, and mono-si product was affected by Europe’s high-efficiency PV cell demand and the start-up demand in the US, which indirectly drove the PV cell capacity utilization rates in the third-party countries.

So far, overseas general multi-si price has remained at 0.115-0.129USD/W. General mono-si price has remained at 0.125-0.135USD/W. High-efficiency mono-si price has remained at 0.155-0.170USD/W. Ultra-high efficiency mono-si (>21.5%) price has remained at 0.158-0.190USD/W. Double-sided PV cell price has dropped to 1.18-1.27RMB/W.

Domestic general multi-si price has declined to 0.77-0.85RMB/W, with the unchanged average price of 0.81RMB/W. General mono-si price has remained at 0.90-1.00RMB/W, with the average price dropping to 0.94RMB/W. High-efficiency mono-si price has declined to 1.13-1.20RMB/W, with the average price dropping to 1.15RMB/W. Ultra-high efficiency mono-si (>21.5%) price has decreased to 1.18-1.25RMB/W, with the average price dropping to 1.22RMB/W.

Module

This week, module prices at home and abroad continued to drop. So far, overseas general multi-si (270-275W) price has fallen to 0.205-0.275USD/W, with the average price dropping to 0.220USD/W. High-efficiency multi-si (280-285W) price has decreased to 0.215-0.255USD/W, with the average price dropping to 0.218USD/W. General mono-si (290-295W) price has been 0.230-0.350USD/W, with the average price remaining at 0.2470USD/W. High-efficiency mono-si (300-305W) price has been 0.268-0.350USD/W. Ultra-high efficiency mono-si (>310W) price has remained at 0.280-0.365USD/W.

Domestic general multi-si price has declined to 1.65-1.72RMB/W, with the average price dropping to 1.71RMB/W. High-efficiency multi-si price has declined to 1.70-1.82RMB/W, with the average price dropping to 1.75RMB/W. General mono-si price has declined to 1.80-1.88RMB/W, with the average price dropping to 1.82RMB/W. High-efficiency mono-si price has increased to 1.90-2.10RMB/W, with the average price rising to 2.00RMB/W. Ultra-high efficiency mono-si price has grown to 2.05-2.20RMB/W, with the average price rising to 2.15RMB/W.

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